Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 17 March 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 64 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 19 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 10 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 1:33PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL
An estimated 237,811 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 30, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 29, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
- July 22, 2026 · score 43 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 55 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 78% |
| Coordinates | 27.7000, -81.7000 |
| Nearest City | Lake Wales (25 km) |
| Population Exposed | 237.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T17:33:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c7b4b752acf74876a2fd63f58902375 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Watch |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| AreaDesc | Alachua, FL; Baker, FL; Bradford, FL; Clay, FL; Duval, FL; Flagler, FL; Marion, FL; Nassau, FL; Putnam, FL; St. Johns, FL; Union, FL; Camden, GA; Charlton, GA; Glynn, GA; Coastal waters from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL out 20 NM; Citrus, FL; Hernando, FL; Levy, FL; Pasco, FL; Sumter, FL and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 1:33PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T20:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Jacksonville FL |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c7b4b752acf74876a2fd63f5890237581714e2c.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c7b4b752acf74876a2fd63f5890237581714e2c.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3408f6f55224d4e2cafed9e295e871f5b3dc5dcf.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3408f6f55224d4e2cafed9e295e871f5b3dc5dcf.002.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Lake Wales?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.